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Four of the Federal Reserve's new task forces are examining its $6.7T securities portfolio, data sources, productivity and jobs, and inflation models.
Fed Chairman Warsh declined to submit a forecast for the dot plot in June 2026.
Not all 19 Federal Reserve policymakers submitted projections for the most recent dot plot.
Federal Reserve policymakers project the unemployment rate will be 4.1%, a level in line with the current rate.
Fed Chairman Warsh created five task forces to examine issues central to the Fed, with one focusing on the dot plot and communication tools.
The median estimate for Federal Reserve interest rates in 2027 was between 4% and 4.25%.
Federal Reserve officials revised their estimates for 'core' inflation up to 3.4%.
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target is not expected to be reached until 2029.
Federal Reserve policymakers project the economy will expand by 2.3% in 2026 and 2.4% in 2027.
In July 2026, overall inflation was 3.7% higher than in July 2025.
In July 2026, core inflation was 3.3% higher than the previous year.
Most Fed officials project that inflation, as measured by the PCE price index, will end the year at 3.7%.
Statement: When asked about Donald Trump's demands, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said the Fed's job was to 'stay in our lane'.
Fact: In the month prior to September 16, 2026, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent undertook interventions to lower borrowing costs.
Fed Chairman Warsh said he is more focused on inflation trends than on specific 'noisy' data points.
Statement: Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh attributed the rise in long-term borrowing costs to higher growth prospects, competition for capital for AI, and geopolitics.
Statement: Donald Trump suggested to reporters that he had spoken to Kevin Warsh and blamed the other six members of the Board of Governors for the rate hike.
Fed Chairman Warsh stated at the Jackson, Wyo. conference that the Fed must be confident underlying inflation is moving towards its objective at sufficient speed.
Statement: On September 16, 2026, Donald Trump reiterated that U.S. interest rates should be 1% or less.
Fact: Following the Fed's announcement, the 2-year Treasury yield rose to 4.7%, the 10-year was around 5%, and the 30-year was 5.35%.