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Two major AI labs released new models on the same day February 5th: GPT-5.3 Codex from OpenAI Opus 4.6 from Anthropic.
Some say impact will be less than one year
Gap between public perception and current reality is enormous and dangerous
Free version is over a year behind what paying users have access to
Judging AI based on free-tier ChatGPT is like evaluating smartphones by using a flip phone
People paying for best AI tools know what is coming
In 2022 AI could not do basic arithmetic reliably
In 2023 AI could pass the bar exam
On February 5th 2026 new AI models arrived
Amodei said AI models smarter than almost all humans at almost all tasks are on track for 2026 or 2027
GPT-5.3-Codex was instrumental in creating itself
Tech workers experience of AI changing is what everyone else is about to have
Claude Opus 4.5 completed tasks that take human expert nearly five hours
By late 2025 some of best engineers handed over most coding work to AI
They focused on making AI great at writing code first because building AI requires a lot of code.
Each generation helps build the next which is smarter which builds the next faster which is smarter still
We are telling you what already occurred in our own jobs warning you that you're next.
We are in the "this seems overblown" phase of something much much bigger than Covid.
The author has spent six years building an AI startup investing in the space.
We are not making predictions.