AI-extracted claim
“The crowd is good at predicting interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and better than professionals at predicting inflation rate”
Analyzed on 2026-09-17T22:43:07+00:00 · Last updated 2026-09-17
Plain language: Insufficient evidence was found to render a verdict.
Credibility score
out of 100
Based on 1 source
Low confidence
Original context
Show passage from source article
The crowd is also pretty good at predicting interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, and even better than the professionals at predicting the rate of inflation.
Extracted from: Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists , The New York Times
Evidence
This analysis is based on a single source. Confidence is low.
Bias distribution of supporting sources
Mean bias -0.20
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