RealFakeLies
Trending CLM-AB6EE284

AI-extracted claim

“Over past decade Good Judgment has developed model of selecting people with good track records of figuring out what will happen”

Analyzed on 2026-09-17T21:42:51+00:00 · Last updated 2026-09-17

Unverified (Unverified)

Plain language: Insufficient evidence was found to render a verdict.

Credibility score

out of 100

Based on 1 source

Low confidence

01

Original context

Show passage from source article
Over the past decade, a group called Good Judgment has developed a model of selecting people with good track records of figuring out what will happen.

Extracted from: Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists , The New York Times

02

Evidence

1 support 0 contradict 0 context

This analysis is based on a single source. Confidence is low.

The New York Times nytimes.com credibility 0.85 Supports

“Over the past decade, a group called Good Judgment has developed a model of selecting people with good track records of figuring out what will happen.”

Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists

Bias distribution of supporting sources

← Left Center Right →

Mean bias -0.20

05

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06

Metadata

Claim ID CLM-AB6EE284
Slug over-past-decade-good-judgment-has-developed-model-of-select-ab6ee284
Origin nytimes.com
Captured 214 d ago
Velocity 0.0/hr
Bias 0.00
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