AI-extracted claim
“If crowd were to supplant professional forecasters individual bettors would lose out”
Analyzed on 2026-09-17T22:43:08+00:00 · Last updated 2026-09-17
Plain language: Insufficient evidence was found to render a verdict.
Credibility score
out of 100
Based on 1 source
Low confidence
Original context
Show passage from source article
And therein lies a danger in prediction markets: If the crowd were to supplant professional forecasters, individual bettors would lose out.
Extracted from: Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists , The New York Times
Evidence
This analysis is based on a single source. Confidence is low.
Bias distribution of supporting sources
Mean bias -0.20
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