AI-extracted claim
“Getting information from a large pool of people can be a good form of forecasting Jonathan Wright said”
Analyzed on 2026-09-17T22:43:07+00:00 · Last updated 2026-09-17
Plain language: Insufficient evidence was found to render a verdict.
Credibility score
out of 100
Based on 1 source
Low confidence
Original context
Show passage from source article
“Getting information from a large pool of people can be a remarkably good form of forecasting,” said Jonathan Wright, an economics professor at Johns Hopkins University who co-wrote the paper.
Extracted from: Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists , The New York Times
Evidence
This analysis is based on a single source. Confidence is low.
Bias distribution of supporting sources
Mean bias -0.20
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