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Trending CLM-AA23F8CE

AI-extracted claim

“Betting markets are just following the experts on quantitative questions”
The New York Times by Lydia DePillis View original article

Analyzed on 2026-09-17T22:43:08+00:00 · Last updated 2026-09-17

Unverified (Unverified)

Plain language: Insufficient evidence was found to render a verdict.

Credibility score

out of 100

Based on 1 source

Low confidence

01

Original context

Show passage from source article
On the quantitative questions that are his stock in trade, like forecasting changes to the Consumer Price Index and gross domestic product, Mr. Feroli suspects something else is going on: The betting markets are just following the experts.

Extracted from: Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists , The New York Times

02

Evidence

1 support 0 contradict 0 context

This analysis is based on a single source. Confidence is low.

The New York Times nytimes.com credibility 0.85 Supports

“On the quantitative questions that are his stock in trade, like forecasting changes to the Consumer Price Index and gross domestic product, Mr. Feroli suspects something else is going on: The betting markets are just following the experts.”

Kalshi and Polymarket Create New Competition for Professional Economists

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Bias distribution of supporting sources

← Left Center Right →

Mean bias -0.20

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Metadata

Claim ID CLM-AA23F8CE
Slug betting-markets-are-just-following-the-experts-on-quantitati-aa23f8ce
Origin nytimes.com
Captured 214 d ago
Velocity 0.0/hr
Bias 0.00
Economics Forecasting