Category
Economy
Markets, trade, employment, prices and economic policy.
Credibility summary
Of the 186 claims in Economy with evidence either way, 91% held up.
Showing 541-560 of 1595 claims
Ted Pappageorge repeatedly warned Democrats they were not focusing enough on affordability and were poised to lose Nevada
Jimmy Williams's 140000 members split nearly evenly between Harris and Trump
Jonathan Hill said Friday report lays groundwork for Fed to restart cuts
He stressed no urgency because inflation would not decelerate until second half of 2026
Mr Hill has penciled in cuts in June and December
By June narrative and data hopefully start to calcify
10-year yield has drifted lower sliding to 4.06 percent on Friday from around 4.25 percent on Jan 28
US Treasury yields fell after report release as traders priced in better chances of Fed rate cut
High growth does not necessarily mean more intense price pressures because of potential productivity gains
Mr Warsh has supported further cuts because tariffs are not inflationary
Second path revolves around inflation and pace of return to Fed's 2 percent target
Central bank has missed that target for roughly five years
Fed is wary about sending wrong signal about commitment to 2 percent target
Policymakers do not want to move so slowly that they jeopardize labor market
Balancing act likely leads Fed to take time to restart cuts further reductions delayed until summer
Unemployment rate spiking would prompt central bank to move
Most officials see scope to cut rates this year
These quirks do not mean January report will be dismissed outright but likely prompt Fed officials to call for more data
Fed will receive one more Consumer Price Index report before voting on rates in mid-March
Unless dramatic shift in economic outlook officials likely hold rates steady extending pause in cuts
Recently analyzed in Economy
Some price increases stemmed from tariffs other factors like housing and food costs played a larger role
June inflation highest since February Trump's tariffs increased prices
Prices are rising because of tariffs
Risk is that investors begin to doubt United States will pay back its debts and start demanding higher interest rates
The New York Times
Country is still on track to borrow an alarming amount of money in coming years
The New York Times