Category
Economy
Markets, trade, employment, prices and economic policy.
Credibility summary
Of the 186 claims in Economy with evidence either way, 91% held up.
Showing 441-460 of 1595 claims
Manufacturing added 5000 jobs in January.
U.S. businesses have produced more output while adding fewer workers.
Investors are moving to price in a delay for when the Fed will next cut interest rates.
Real income for consumers is still positive.
Productivity is a function of business output per hour.
Temporary help services added 9000 jobs.
Reduced job gains are a disappointment.
Today’s data shows an acceleration in employment that was strong enough to drive unemployment lower
S&P 500 opened 0.5 percent higher
Productivity in 2025 may be stronger than realized.
Sluggish hiring of seasonal workers during the holidays may have boosted the number
Longer-dated interest rates remain higher after this morning’s data
Hiring stabilized at a modest pace of 73000 over the previous three months including the January 2026 estimate
Initial claims for unemployment insurance remained very low in January
Energy stocks led the rise
10-year treasury yield rose to 4.16 percent
Job openings dropped to 6.5 million in December
The U.S. economy put in a strong showing at the start of 2026 following a year of disruptions
Labor market might be emerging from slow growth
Average hourly earnings rose by 3.7 percent over the year
Recently analyzed in Economy
Some price increases stemmed from tariffs other factors like housing and food costs played a larger role
June inflation highest since February Trump's tariffs increased prices
Prices are rising because of tariffs
Risk is that investors begin to doubt United States will pay back its debts and start demanding higher interest rates
The New York Times
Country is still on track to borrow an alarming amount of money in coming years
The New York Times